Iran is closer to the atomic bomb than anyone thinks

Israeli officials recently estimated that it would take Iran about two years to acquire the atomic bomb, and Secretary of State Anthony Blinken said Iran needed only a few weeks to produce the materials needed to make the atomic bomb.

Sputnik – When Iran entered the nuclear talks, it had about 2,500 kilograms of enriched uranium with a richness of over 20%, which, according to nuclear experts, is enough to produce about ten nuclear bombs.

That is, if Iran wanted to build an atomic bomb, it could have produced at least ten nuclear bombs or warheads at the same time that it could mount on its missiles.

During the Iran-Iraq War, many military commanders approached the Imam, claiming that Iraq was using chemical and biological weapons against Iranian forces, and that it was Iran’s inalienable right to produce and defend chemical and biological weapons. .

Everyone emphasized that Iran has the science and technology to produce such weapons, and that it would be very convenient for the Iranian Ministry of Defense to produce such weapons.

But the Imam was in no way willing to produce weapons of mass destruction by Iran and even use them against enemy soldiers.

At present, the reason why the Iranians are not moving towards producing an atomic bomb is not because they are afraid of the West, but because Ayatollah Khamenei is opposed to this movement and considers it forbidden.

According to Mr. Alavi, Iran’s Minister of Intelligence, it is obvious that if the cowardly behavior of Western countries against Iran continues, then perhaps the opinion of those who believe that the work should be done and a nuclear bomb should be made more effective and they can Convince the leadership to change its fatwa.

Of course, today, due to the cowardice of the United States and Western countries against Iran, more and more people are supporting this view in Iran.

After the Saadabad agreement in 2005 and the West’s refusal to fulfill its commitments, Iran advanced its nuclear program with astonishing speed and achieved a full cycle of nuclear technology.

The speed of Iran’s progress was in no way imaginable by any country or even international organization.

The issue of the theft of Iran’s archived nuclear documents by the Israelis has not yet been confirmed, but some believe that even the Iranians deliberately embed some documents and allowed the Israelis to take them and display them to send a very important message to the enemies. And that was that Iran has all the information it needs to produce nuclear weapons, so don’t bother anymore.

It is no secret that the main issue in the production of nuclear weapons is not the possession of the materials, because today countries can supply these materials in various forms from the black market, it is important to have the science and technology to produce them that the Iranians have.

However, even if the Iranians do not currently produce the materials needed to make nuclear weapons, for example, they can get those materials from a third country such as North Korea or Pakistan or Ukraine or South Africa or India or … buy and produce their own atomic bomb in a very short time that may not even be a few hours.

Of course, the other side of Iran, which participated in the nuclear talks, has more information than I did, and they were well aware of this.

They know very well that as long as the International Atomic Energy Agency has the strictest control over Iran’s nuclear program, it is impossible or very difficult for Iran to produce nuclear weapons, and also if the Iranians wanted to produce nuclear weapons. They did not allow this strict surveillance, all the countries that have nuclear weapons have blocked the surveillance of international agencies.

From the very beginning, when they got involved in the nuclear talks, and Mr. Blinken was one of the people who knew about it, they wanted to tighten control over Iran’s nuclear program, and nothing more.

Because of the regional situation and the threats facing Iran, the missile issue and even Iran’s relations with its allies in the region required regional discussions and negotiations, and it was by no means acceptable for Iran to limit its capabilities while no longer Countries in the region are both buying the most advanced weapons and interfering in the affairs of other countries.

Even now, the situation has not changed at all, but it has become much worse, especially when we see that some countries, such as Israel, dare today and pose direct threats against Iran every day.

As US officials are saying today, at the time, they were looking for Burjam as an excuse to enter into further talks and reach other agreements with Iran.

Perhaps if they had carried out Burjam to the fullest at the time, given the presence of a government that sought to negotiate and resolve disputes with the West, it would have been conceivable that other Burjam would have opened its way, but given The fact that they did not fulfill their obligations in the first place can no longer be imagined that anyone in Iran is ready to talk about Borjam 2 and Borjam 3 and so on.

The notion that the new US administration can take advantage of Iran, which did not participate in the Iran nuclear talks, with the support of Trump’s so-called sanctions, is a simple assumption.

If the Iranians were willing to make such concessions that Trump was willing to give them a lot of concessions, and at least everyone knows what power he had in the United States and he could have forced everyone to do what he says, not like the new president. The United States, which does not even have enough support to carry out its domestic projects, and its position as a legitimate president is still in question among a large section of the American people themselves.

As these conditions continue, in a few days we will see the suspension of the voluntary implementation of the Additional Protocol by Iran, which will weaken the International Atomic Energy Agency’s oversight of Iran’s nuclear program.

According to all international treaties, because Iran is a member of the NPT, Iran can complete the full cycle of its nuclear program, including enrichment at any level and the production of various centrifuges, as well as the production of plutonium and metal. Have uranium and heavy water, etc. provided that only the initial monitoring of the agency exists.

According to Borjam, Iran agreed to limit its nuclear program for a period of time and to provide extra-safeguard oversight to the International Atomic Energy Agency in order to lift sanctions on the Iranian people, obviously as long as the sanctions are lifted. No logic can persuade Iranians to comply with extra-humanitarian commitments.

The other side is well aware that the slogan of the Israelis or even the Americans about attacking and destroying Iran’s nuclear or military facilities is nothing more than an empty slogan, if it were possible they would not hesitate for a moment.

The International Atomic Energy Agency’s tight monitoring can ensure that they have enough information about Iran’s nuclear program and know where and how if they ever want to carry out military or sabotage operations against it. Do.

Even if Iran enriches uranium to a level above 90% and installs the latest generation of centrifuges in the world, and … as long as these monitors exist, they can be relatively confident that Iran is currently It does not go for nuclear weapons.

If these countries do not act by the time set by Iran to suspend cross-border cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency, then they will suffer the biggest blow they might not believe from Iran, given that Iran has all the necessary technologies to produce It has nuclear weapons. Iran may produce and drop the necessary materials and not just produce a bomb, which at that time may not take the Iranians a few hours or even minutes to mount.